President Donald Trump received some good news this week on the upcoming presidential election as well as a possible advantage he may have over his opponent, Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
According to Rasmussen Reports, the president’s approval rating is “on the rise again” following the first presidential debate on Tuesday. And another report from the Daily Caller suggests that Trump will likely enjoy a big advantage over Biden with in-person voters on Election Day.
Trump approval heading back up
The first report comes from Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, one of the first major polls to factor the Tuesday debate into the results.
As noted by an opinion piece in the Washington Examiner, Trump enjoyed a 10-day stretch of a 50% or higher approval rating in Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll of likely voters. It then dropped to around 46% following the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. However, his approval ticked back up to 49% by that Thursday, a few days after the presidential debate.
The Examiner also noted that Trump’s job approval rating had increased to 46% in a Gallup poll — up from 42% in the prior survey — though that poll was conducted just prior to the presidential debate. The Gallup poll also found that a majority of voters, regardless of which candidate they support, believe Trump would win the election over Biden, 56-40%.
Trump supporters favor in-person voting
Meanwhile, The Daily Caller reported on what may be incredible news for Trump ahead of Election Day, namely the likely significant advantage he will have in terms of in-person compared to by-mail voting.
Citing a survey from the Pew Research Center conducted earlier in the summer, the pollsters found that approximately 60% of Trump supporters would prefer to cast their votes in-person on Election Day while only 23% of Biden’s supporters said they planned to do the same.
In contrast, 58% of Biden supporters said they would prefer to cast their vote by mail, as compared to only 17% of Trump supporters who would vote using an absentee or mail-in ballot.
This means that come Election Day evening, President Trump could build up a massive and potentially insurmountable margin of votes in his favor. However, as tens of millions of mail-in ballots are counted over the following days, Biden will inevitably cut into that lead and, perhaps, even surpass it to eventually win the election.
Voter enthusiasm will win the day
What this election will likely boil down to is which of the two candidate’s supporters are more motivated to vote, and as The Daily Caller pointed out, that is one metric in which Trump has consistently bested Biden.
If Trump’s supporters remain highly motivated and turn out en masse on Election Day, while Biden’s less enthusiastic supporters roll the dice on sending in a ballot through the mail, then Trump could be looking at a landslide victory.
However, given the unexpected events over the past several months including the COVID-19 pandemic, the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and now President Trump’s COVID diagnosis, it’s possible that what will end up being a significant factor in the presidential election has not even happened yet.