Throughout the 2020 Democratic primary season thus far, the mainstream media has consistently pushed the narrative that virtually any one of the Democrat presidential contenders could defeat President Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup, particularly in key battleground states.
However, in part due to the Democrats’ partisan impeachment effort and as voters learn more about the various candidates, polls have shifted, and Breitbart is now reporting on one that shows Trump handily defeating any one of five top Democrat contenders in three vital midwestern states in hypothetical matchups.
Trump leads in battlegrounds
President Trump now holds substantial leads over all of the major Democrat candidates, including frontrunner and former Vice President Joe Biden, in hypothetical head-to-head matchups in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
That news comes from a poll in early December of likely voters in those three states by Firehouse Strategies/Optimus, and it looks awfully likely that the ongoing impeachment effort, which is not supported by a majority of voters in any of the three states, is a key culprit in the about-face witnessed by pollsters.
The poll compared President Trump in the key states with Democrat candidates Biden, Sens. Elizabeth Warren (MA) and Bernie Sanders (VT), South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg.
In Michigan, Trump held a five-point lead over Biden, 46-41%; a nine-point lead over Warren, 47-38%; a point-point lead over Sanders, 48-42%; and an 11-point lead over both Buttigieg and Bloomberg, 48-37%.
In Pennsylvania, the numbers for Trump versus Biden were exactly the same, 46-41%. Things were slightly different with the other candidates, though, as Trump led Warren by seven points, 47-40%; was up by 10 points over Sanders, 48-38%; had a six-point lead over Buttigieg, 46-40%; and led Bloomberg by four points, 45-41%.
It was in Wisconsin, however, where the president enjoyed his largest margins, a nine-point lead over Biden, 48-39%; a 13-point lead over Warren and Sanders, 50-37% and 51-38%, respectively; an 11-point lead over Buttigieg, 49-38%; and a 12-point lead over Bloomberg, 49-37%.
Obviously, with Biden being the frontrunner candidate and closest competitor to President Trump, Firehouse compared how the two had matched up in the three states since polling on the hypothetical head-to-head contest began in March.
The sharpest change has been witnessed in Wisconsin, where Biden initially led Trump by 12 points in March, about six points in June, roughly two points in September, and is now nine points behind Trump in December. In Pennsylvania, Biden led by seven points in March, four points in September, and now trails by four points.
Michigan, on the other hand, has always remained a much tighter race, with Biden only leading by about three points in June before falling behind by five points as of now.
It is difficult to deny that the partisan impeachment inquiry, with its accompanying blanket media coverage, together with Biden’s own media issues, have contributed to this significant shift in the polls in favor of Trump in these key battleground states, and unless something major occurs to reverse this trend, it is clear that President Trump is firmly on the path to re-election in 2020.