Despite indications that voters may be turning on congressional Democrats, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) told reporters on Friday that she is “very confident” her party will retain their majority in her chamber after the 2022 midterm elections.
“I’m very confident that we will win the House,” Pelosi said, according to the Washington Examiner.
Democrats’ current majority in the House is already razor-thin, and Republicans only need to gain five seats to retake control, the Examiner noted.
Furthermore, polling cited by the outlet indicates that if the election were held today, Republicans would retake the majority in Congress’ lower chamber.
It’s still the economy, stupid
The head of the House Democratic campaign arm, Rep. Sean Maloney of New York, reportedly shared internal polling with leading Dem lawmakers that showed only 42% of likely voters in swing districts trusted Democrats to handle the economy properly in the wake of COVID-19.
It didn’t take long for voters to figure out that Democrats have been even more spending-happy since the last time they held majorities in both houses plus the presidency.
The inflation their $5 trillion in spending is causing could hold the economy back for years to come, and on top of that, extending unemployment and eviction moratoriums is causing millions to stay out of the workforce when employers desperately need them to come back to work.
President Joe Biden would also like to pass several more multitrillion-dollar spending bills as well as tax increases through Congress if he can get past a Republican filibuster in the Senate, and only one or two Democrat senators stand in the way of ending the filibuster at this point.
New voting laws
Another thing helping Republicans: Many conservative states are passing voting legislation designed to prevent a repeat of the lax rules used in 2020 because of the pandemic. Many conservative and swing states that currently have Republican legislatures and governors are moving to require voter ID and limit early voting so that ballots can be better secured and verified.
Some states are also taking inactive voters and those whose records show they have moved away from their districts off the rolls, after first giving voters a chance to verify that they are eligible to vote in that district or that they want to remain on the rolls, reports note.
Besides the House, the Senate could also fall back under GOP control with a shift of just one net Republican senator.
Pelosi is on tenuous ground in claiming her party will hold the majority, but what is she really supposed to say? Not in a million years is the speaker going to predict her party will lose an upcoming election — it just isn’t done.