Researchers conclude illegal votes in crucial swing states might have changed election

Even as Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden continues forward with his transition into the White House, President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign maintains its argument that the election results were to some extent tainted by fraudulent or otherwise irregular ballots in crucial battleground states.

As reported by the Washington Times, a nonprofit research organization recently concluded that at least some of those allegedly fraudulent votes — as many as a few hundred thousand — appear to have come from noncitizens who are ineligible to vote.

“Just one kind of fraud”

While the exclusion of those votes would not be enough to shift the popular vote to Trump, such results in swing states could have theoretically cost him the electoral votes needed to secure a second term.

The group Just Facts looked closely at the presidential election returns from seven key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Comparing those results to U.S. Census data, demographics, prior election results, and previous polling estimates, leading researchers to an overarching conclusion.

“This is just one kind of fraud,” Just Facts President Dr. James Agresti told the Times. “It’s a sizable number, which is the point. It also decimates the predominant narrative that there is no evidence of large-scale fraud in U.S. elections.”

According to the organization’s study, illegal noncitizen voting in those seven states range, on average, from 5,000 to as many as 50,000 in each state. If removed, those tallies could have given Trump as many as 285 electoral votes — 15 more than needed to win a presidential race.

“Ample openings”

Although prohibited under federal law, Just Facts appears to have shown that such election fraud is not particularly difficult to perpetrate.

Without safeguards like voter identification laws and in the absence of full-fledged investigations of state voter rolls, it can be difficult to identify and prosecute these crimes.

As Just Fact summarized in its recent report, there appear to be “ample openings for non-citizens to illegal vote” and “roughly 16% of them voted in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.”

Assuming that trend continued this year in battleground states where Biden eked out a razor-thin win, “the numbers of non-citizens in these states and their preference for Democrats may have netted Biden enough fraudulent votes to tip the overall election winner from Trump to Biden.”

While USA Today attempted to discredit the results with a “fact check,” it concluded only that the study was “missing context,” while the supposed fact-checkers issued their own conclusion that the “claim that voter turnout from noncitizens affected the popular vote in the 2020 presidential race in battleground states is plausible but unproven” because the researchers relied on “unverifiable estimates.”

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