Report: Upsurge in immigration could cost 26 House members their seats in 2022

President Donald Trump’s efforts to add a citizenship question to the 2020 census were blocked by liberal courts and highly criticized by the left. And now, we know why.

According to a study recently shared by Breitbart, legal and illegal immigration over the last several years will result in the redistribution of more than two dozen House seats, largely from red states to blue states, ahead of the 2022 elections. 

A change of tide

Every decade, when the census is taken, the 435-member House of Representatives is reapportioned to match the varying population levels of the states. But the counted population of each state includes not just American citizens, but all residents and their children, whether they are citizens, legal permanent residents, temporary foreign exchange students, or illegal immigrants.

Due to this, as well as the fact that a majority of immigrants remain congregated in just a handful of localities, states with growing immigrant populations stand to gain additional seats in Congress after reapportionment. According to the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), which crunched the numbers, approximately 26 congressional seats will be redistributed following the 2020 census — primarily, away from red states and toward blue states.

According to Breitbart, the CIS study predicted that Ohio will lose three seats in Congress while Michigan and Pennsylvania will lose two. Another 19 states — all but two or three of which are reliably Republican — will likely lose one seat in Congress following the reapportionment of congressional seats.

The 26 seats are predicted to be redistributed to seven states, all but one or two of which reliably vote Democrat. According to the CIS, California will likely gain 11 more seats in Congress due to its massive and growing immigrant population, while New York and Texas will each gain four more seats. Florida will gain three seats, while New Jersey gets two, and Illinois and Massachusetts each get one.

The CIS noted that 24 of the 26 lost seats come from states won by President Trump in 2016. Of the states that are set to gain those redistributed seats, 19 of them went for Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton in that election.

A sound argument

It isn’t difficult to see that the inclusion of all residents — not just citizens who can vote — in population counts that decide congressional apportionment grants outsized influence to those few states with large immigrant populations, at the expense of the rest of the states.

Furthermore, Breitbart cited additional studies that show the vast majority of foreign-born immigrants (whether naturalized citizens, legal permanent residents, or illegal immigrants) tend to support Democrats and liberal policies, meaning the handful of states they congregate in tend to turn even more blue — a trend that can be seen in formerly solid red states like Florida and Texas.

Add to all of that the fact that the U.S. welcomes in anywhere from 2–3 million new immigrants per year — approximately 1.2 million in legal immigrants, another estimated million in illegal immigrants, and several hundred thousand foreign students and workers — and the growing political impact becomes crystal clear.

To be sure, naturalized citizens who have earned the right to vote should of course be counted alongside native-born citizens, and a solid argument could be made for the inclusion of legal permanent residents in the apportionment count as well, given their choice to follow the legal path and clear intention of becoming a citizen at some point in the future.

The same cannot be said for illegal immigrants or foreign students and other guests, however, and their inclusion in the population count has led to a shifting of political power away from citizens in predominately blue states — a trend that could transform this nation as we know it.

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