For several months, progressive pundits and mainstream media outlets have emphasized polling results that show Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden with a national lead over President Donald Trump.
As in 2016, however, some pollsters are pointing to “hidden” Trump supporters as a potential key to a second term for the incumbent, as reported by Daily Caller.
“Missing the hidden Trump vote”
The latest evidence of such stealth support comes from the analysis of Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster for Trafalgar Group.
He appeared on Fox News Channel’s Hannity on Tuesday, telling host Sean Hannity that his firm has seen evidence that Trump voters are being underrepresented in most polling results.
“What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote, what is referred to as the shy Trump voter,” he said.
Cahaly cited “a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they are not interested in sharing their opinions so readily on the telephone.”
He went on to claim that he has seen Trump supporters “beat up, harassed, doxed, have their houses torn up, because they express political opinions that are not in line with … the politically correct establishment.”
“Mainstream media is going to have to cover it”
It is worth noting that Trafalgar Group was one of only two major polling firms to accurately predict the president’s 2016 win.
The company’s pollsters account for the “shy” Trump supporter, which is most prevalent in largely Democratic states and districts where openly backing the president might be met with backlash. Of course, there is no guarantee the president will see a similar level of overperformance in his re-election bid.
For his part, Trump has cited “tremendous enthusiasm” for his campaign in expressing his optimism that he will win a second term in the White House.
In any case, Cahaly also cited a growing scandal involving Biden’s alleged involvement in his son’s shady international business dealings as a factor that could swing the election in Trump’s favor.
“I think Biden might crack, kind of like he did in the primaries,” he said. “And if that happens, well, then the mainstream media is going to have to cover it.”