Though a lot can change between now and the next presidential election, 2024 looks like it could end up being a rematch of 2020 and feature current President Joe Biden versus former President Donald Trump.
If that turns out to be the case, two recent polls suggest that Trump would prevail over Biden and return to the White House for a second term, Breitbart reported.
One of those polls also showed that if Trump faced off against Vice President Kamala Harris instead of his successor Biden, the former president would emerge victorious by an even greater margin.
Trump vs. Biden, Round 2
Harvard CAPS/Harris surveyed 1,308 registered voters between June 28-29 and posed the hypothetical matchups between Trump and Biden as well as Harris, and found that Trump would defeat both of them if the 2024 election were to be held today.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, voters preferred the former president over the current president by a margin of 43-40 percent, with 17 percent unsure. Matched up against Harris, Trump would win by a margin of 45-39 percent, with 16 percent unsure.
That certainly wasn’t the only bad news for Biden, though, as the pollsters found that Trump would easily prevail in a crowded GOP primary with 56 percent support from Republican voters while Biden would prevail in a Democratic primary with only 30 percent support — and Harris with only 25 percent support if Biden declined to run for another term.
Majorities want neither to run for second term
On that note, 71 percent said Biden shouldn’t run for a second term in 2024, with the top reasons being that he is a “bad president,” is “too old,” and that it’s “time for a change.”
The flip side of that, though, is that 61 percent of voters also said Trump shouldn’t run for the White House again, with the top reasons given as him being too “erratic,” that he would further “divide America,” and that he bears responsibility for the Jan. 6 Capitol riot of 2021.
All of that said, should 2024 end up being a rematch of 2020, 60 percent of voters said they’d consider casting a vote for a “moderate independent” third-party candidate, and that number includes 64 percent of Democrats and 53 percent of Republicans.
Interestingly enough, however, the pollsters found that out of all of the top recognizable political figures on both the left and right, former President Trump had the best favorability at 42 percent, well above Biden’s 38 percent, and unfavorability of 50 percent, which was below Biden’s 54 percent unfavorability.
Trump wins again
Breitbart also pointed to similar results from a recent Emerson College poll, which surveyed 1,271 voters between June 28-29 and also found that, at least as of now, both Presidents Biden and Trump were the favorites to win their respective party’s nominations in 2024.
In that hypothetical rematch, Trump garnered 44 percent support compared to 39 percent for Biden — with Biden’s support down four points since last month while Trump held steady — as well as 12 percent who would support a third-party candidate and 5 percent who remained unsure.