Democrats would love to believe that Texas is in play in November, but that is truly hard to fathom.
Their joy turned to sorrow this week when the Dallas Morning News and the University of Texas at Tyler released their latest polling, showing President Donald Trump now leading Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden by two points among likely Texas voters.
Texas is in play
Texas has become a bit of an enigma in the political world lately.
Several major Texas cities are run by Democrat mayors, including Dallas, Houston, and Austin. Even so, while there are Democrat members of Congress within the state, by and large, the federal positions are held by Republicans. Beto O’Rourke was the Democrat party’s big hope to tilt the Senate until he lost to Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the last election.
But with the summer’s polling results giving Joe Biden an edge, Democrats are thinking the entire state is now up for grabs in the presidential election.
If Biden were to win Texas, it would mean that Trump would have no chance to beat him, as he needs those electoral votes to offset Biden’s expected New York and California wins. And a win for Biden in Texas would be the first Democrat win since Jimmy Carter won the state in 1976.
Virtually from the time that Biden announced his candidacy, he has been leading Trump in Texas.
The lead has never been very significant, but he did have a lead. However, voters no longer seem to be buying his schtick.
In the last DMN poll in July, Biden held a five-point lead over Trump.
In this most recent poll, however, Trump is now holding a two-point lead over Biden — a massive seven-point swing in about 60 days.
The tightness in the race surely has a lot to do with the mass exodus from states like California to the Lone Star State.
The saving grace for Republicans in this particular race, though, will likely be the stance the Democrats are taking against fossil fuels. Without the oil business, the entire state of Texas could turn into a ghost town, something we don’t expect even Democrat oilmen to be willing to concede just yet.