Speculation continues to swirl around whether former President Donald Trump will launch another White House bid in 2024.
When it comes to how he might perform against either President Joe Biden or Vice President Kamala Harris, however, recent polling results show he would be in a prime position if the election were held today.
Details of the survey
According to the Washington Examiner, the new poll shows Trump receiving more support than either Biden or Harris in theoretical matchups.
Likely contributing to Trump’s strong showing is the fact that both the president and vice president have seen their approval ratings crater over the course of recent months.
Rasmussen Reports surveyed 1,000 likely voters earlier this month for a poll with a three-point margin of error.
Against Biden, Trump prevailed by a margin of 51% to 41%, including a 20-point lead among independent voters.
His advantage was even greater against Harris, who would likely be the Democratic nominee if Biden opts against seeking re-election. The poll found 52% of respondents would back Trump compared to 39% in favor of Harris.
“Mounting issues on all fronts”
Notably, about 1 in 5 Democrats said they would abandon their own party’s nominee — either Biden or Harris — to support a second term for Trump.
While polls have previously shown a mixed reaction to the prospect of a 2024 Trump campaign, the recent Rasmussen survey showed that a plurality would support such a bid.
Specifically, 48% of those polled believed it would be a good idea for Trump to seek a second term compared to 44% who said he should not. The results appear to track well with another recent survey. The Harvard CAPS-Harris poll found that Trump is now viewed more favorably than Biden.
According to those results, the president’s favorability rating is underwater by a margin of 46-49 while Trump is narrowly in positive territory at 48% favorable and 47% unfavorable. As for which is the better president, 51% chose Trump and 49% sided with Biden.
Harvard CAPS-Harris Co-director Mark Penn analyzed the results, stating: “The mounting issues on all fronts have led to the surprise conclusion that Trump is now seen as good a president as Biden, suggesting the honeymoon is being replaced now with buyer’s remorse. Since Trump lost the popular vote by 5 points, Trump getting 51 percent as a better president is actually an improvement from Election Day.”