All eyes have been on Georgia in recent weeks as a pair of Republican senators battle it out against two Democratic challengers to hold onto their seats in the upper chamber — but if Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats were hoping to coast to an easy victory in the Peach State’s Jan. 5 runoff races, they just got some terrible news.
Dems need to win both races in Georgia to tie with Republicans for control of the next Congress — a situation that would give apparent Vice President-elect Kamala Harris the chance to cast any tie-breaking votes. But according to a new poll, their chances at succeeding are looking decidedly slim.
Breitbart reported Saturday that a new survey from Trafalgar Group showed both Sens. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) and David Perdue (R-GA) ahead of their Democrat challengers, with Loeffler besting Democrat Raphael Warnock by nearly 7% when voters who are “leaning” but still officially undecided are included in the count.
Perdue, meanwhile, sat just a few points ahead of challenger Jon Ossoff, with 50.2% support to Ossoff’s 47.5%.
A lead in the polls
Both figures mark gains for the GOP; according to Breitbart, Perdue had trailed Ossoff by 0.3% in the same poll a week prior, but now leads by 2.7%. Likewise, Loeffler had previously led Warnock by 3.1%, but has more than doubled that.
The Trafalgar poll surveyed 1,064 likely voters in Georgia between Dec. 14–16 and had a margin of error of less than 3%.
The results were first revealed by the pollster on Friday, Breitbart reported.
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) December 19, 2020
Senate control is crucial
The Trafalgar polls have proven themselves to be fairly accurate throughout this election cycle and are included in the collection of polls that make up the RealClearPolitics average of polls for the Senate runoffs.
As these leads grow and Jan. 5 continues to draw closer, there’s no question that Biden is wholly aware of just how important control of the Senate will be to his legislative agenda as president — and he made that clear in a plea to voters on Tuesday.
“It’s time to stand up, take back our democracy. Send me these two men, and we will control the Senate, and we will change the lives of the people in Georgia,” the former vice president said desperately at an event in Georgia, according to Breitbart. “I need two senators from this state if I want to get something done, not two senators who are going to get in the way.”