According to Breitbart News, a new poll suggests that populist candidate Marine Le Pen might be able to defeat President Emmanuel Macron in France’s upcoming presidential election.
The poll comes from Atlas Intelligence, which is a Brazilian-based polling firm. Between April 4 and April 6, the pollster surveyed 1,946 French citizens aged 18 or older.
The poll comes as the people of France are getting ready to vote in the first round of the country’s presidential election.
The voting will commence this weekend.
The (surprise?) findings:
In the first round of voting, the pollster predicts a victory for Macron, the current president. The pollster has Macron receiving 27.8% of the vote, which is clear first. Second place, however, would go to Le Pen, who is polling at 21.3%.
What this means is that both candidates would move on to the next round. And, in this next round, Le Pen, according to the pollster, might have an edge. Atlas Intelligence has Le Pen winning the second round by less than a percentage point over Macron: 41.4% to 40.8%.
It ought to be noted, however, that 18% of those surveyed indicated that they are either undecided about who to vote for or that they have decided that they will not cast a ballot. This is a significant percentage that can easily alter the outcome if, for example, the majority of those who are undecided end up choosing Macron or Le Pen.
It also ought to be noted that Macron would be expected to win against just about any other candidate in the second round. This includes Jean-Luc Melenchon, the far-left candidate, Eric Zemmour, the right-wing candidate, and Valerie Pecresse, the center-right candidate.
Is an upset incoming?
Breitbart News reports that Atlas Intelligence’s findings, here, are in line with other recent polls. They all show Le Pen coming on strong.
Breitbart also quotes Nicolas Tenzer, an academic, as stating that a Le Pen victory is a real possibility.
“With a high abstention rate, which is possible, and the level of hatred toward the president among some people, there could be a real surprise,” he said. “The idea that Le Pen wins is not impossible.”
It would be an understatement to say that a Le Pen victory would certainly shake things up in Europe.