Pollster: Rule changes ‘made a tremendous difference’ on the results of the 2020 election

Earlier this month, the U.S. Supreme Court threw out a lawsuit out of Texas challenging the results of the 2020 election in a number of states that had changed their election rules just months ahead of November’s hotly contested match-ups. But while those on the left celebrated the decision, it looks like Texas and President Donald Trump may have been right all along.

Described by the Washington Examiner as “one of this year’s most accurate pollsters,” the head of the Trafalgar Group said this week that were it not for rule changes across the country, the results of this year’s presidential face-off would likely have been very different.

The Electoral College voted 306–232 early last week in favor of Democrat Joe Biden over the incumbent president, according to CBS News.

Despite ongoing challenges from Trump and his allies, Congress is set to meet to count the votes in early January.

“A tremendous difference”

The results may have been different, however, if states had been forced to use the election rules that were on the books pre-pandemic.

Speaking with the Examiner, Robert Cahaly, the Trafalgar Group’s chief pollster, said he felt the changes, which included allowing the widespread use of mail-in ballots and other measures meant to address concerns about voters catching COVID-19 at the polls, “made a tremendous difference.”

“If this election had been run based on the rules of 2016, it would have come out differently,” Cahaly told the Examiner. “I think those little changes made a tremendous difference.”

President Trump, for his part, condemned the moves from the moment they were suggested, arguing that changing the rules was “unfair and a total fraud in the making,” according to Fox News. The president maintains that fraud is what cost him the election on Nov. 3.

“Get the laws changed”

Cahaly seemed to agree with the president — but only up to a point. The pollster told the Washington Examiner that he doesn’t “think there’s any question” that the rule changes increased the likelihood of fraud occurring. But he wasn’t willing to go so far as to say that this fraud is what cost President Trump the election.

According to the Examiner, Cahaly said that fraud has “always been there.”

Instead, Cahaly expressed frustration at Republicans for not challenging the changes made to state election laws sooner. He said that it’s “easy to complain about the rules after the game’s over, but the question is, what did you do to prevent it?”

Going forward, he urged Republicans to turn their attention to preventing similar issues in the future. “If I was a Republican attorney general,” Cahaly told the Examiner, “I would spend the next two years talking about voter integrity and trying to get the laws changed.”

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