As a majority of national and swing-state polls show presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden with a substantial lead over incumbent Donald Trump, some of the president’s critics are developing theories about the next four months.
Democratic strategist James Carville, for example, is now saying that he believes there is a good chance Trump will drop out of the running if he thinks his chances of winning have sufficiently dwindled, according to Mediaite.
“A significant chance he doesn’t run”
The theory that the president could withdraw from his re-election bid gained traction last week following a tweet by Fox Business Network’s Charles Gasparino.
Gasparino said at the time that unidentified GOP operatives told him that there was a growing concern within the party that Trump could simply drop out instead of face the embarrassment of a loss to Biden.
In Carville’s hypothetical scenario, the Republican Party could revolt against its own presidential nominee by September, assuming he is still down significantly in the polls.
Unless Trump chooses to withdraw from the race on his own, he speculated that Republicans would actively campaign against him in an effort to save other members of the party running for offices further down the ballot.
“I think there is a significant chance he doesn’t run,” Carville said, according to Mediaite. “I mean, this thing is going so poorly. He’s so far back. It doesn’t even — to me, it doesn’t make much sense for him to run.”
“Take the whole outfit down”
Carville said that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) likely had a strategy that involved Republican officials turning on Trump after Labor Day.
“The chances of that working are zero,” Carville advised, according to Mediaite. “He is going to take the whole outfit down with him.”
Of course, there is no direct evidence that Trump has any plans to step aside as he continues to campaign for a second term.
With several months left until voters decide on the next four years, Biden has plenty of time to damage his own campaign through incessant gaffes and other potential pitfalls.
Furthermore, Republicans by and large are all in on the president, who does not have a reputation as a quitter. As much as his political rivals might wish he would drop out, it is highly unlikely they will be so lucky.