Take those polls with a grain of salt. Even Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden’s campaign is warning that the national polls are “inflated.”
The race between Biden and President Donald Trump is much closer than national polls show and Democrats should not get comfortable yet, the campaign said.
According to New York Times reporter Shane Goldmacher, Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon made the comments in a virtual meeting with supporters on Friday, saying, “Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits. Those are inflated national public polling numbers.”
2016 on repeat
These latest admissions from the Biden campaign bring up memories that might be traumatic for Democrats who were stunned by President Trump’s victory over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Polls showed Trump far behind Clinton and to many Democrats, Clinton had the race in the bag.
Once again, Democrats are likely underestimating the so-called “silent majority” that was so crucial in electing President Trump. The sometimes violent nature of politics has made voters go quiet.
This isn’t an advantage for Democrats as those silenced people are even more motivated to go out and vote for the president who has fought for them over and over again for the past four years.
The “Silent Majority” also complicates Democrat campaigns as it has become more difficult to gauge where populations stand on candidates. That information is usually used to plan campaigns and choose areas to focus on leading up to the election.
While the science behind polls is shaky at best, 2016 upset them completely, and President Trump’s support base was the culprit. Sounds like Biden’s campaign knows this, and they are raising the alarm.
Too many unknowns
Even if the Biden campaign is doing its best to avoid Clinton’s mistakes, it may not be enough. Already Democrats are gloating over poll numbers and a general feeling of confidence in Biden is starting to spread.
This could have huge implications for Election Day. Republicans who are on the fence about Trump may become more motivated to go out and vote for him while Democrats may choose to stay home, believing victory is assured for Biden.
The race is far from over and if we learned anything from 2016, it’s that President Trump is not bound by conventional politics.