Supreme Court ruling on Voting Rights Act could give Republicans 19 more House seats

By Jen Krausz on
 October 9, 2025

If a case the Supreme Court is looking at goes Republicans' way, it could lead to 19 more solid GOP seats in the House, almost guaranteeing a Republican majority for the foreseeable future. 

The high court plans to rehear Louisiana v. Callais, a case that challenges section 2, the provision that prevents racial gerrymandering if the result would dilute minority votes in that district.

In other words, it's currently illegal to redistrict a majority Black or Hispanic district so that it stops being a majority district for that race. It's a form of affirmative action for voting, so that's why liberals are worried the court will rule to strike it down.

Most majority Black or Hispanic districts vote Democrat, so the provision benefits Democrats.

Predictions and plans

If it is struck down, experts estimate that Republicans will net 19 House seats, which could be enough to keep them in the majority in 2026 and beyond.

The court probably won't rule on the case before primaries for the midterms in 2026, so changes will have to wait until after that.

But there's a chance the ruling could come that soon, and Republicans will be ready to jump on it if it does.

Other redistricting could give Republicans about eight more seats, but the party in power generally loses seats in the off-year, so we will have to see what happens.

"One-party system"

Democrats are already talking about a "one-party system" if their fears come to fruition, but whose fault do they think that is?

Maybe if the party hadn't lurched so far to the left in the last few elections, they'd still be relevant and wouldn't be bleeding minority voters who don't want to see their taxes skyrocket and their world turn woke while inflation makes their dollars worth less every year.

If Democrats spent as much time listening to the concerns of their voting bloc and figuring out what the majority of their members really want as they do trumpeting soft socialism and transgender surgeries for minors, they might not be in this mess in the first place.

For Republicans' part, if they can avoid shooting themselves in the foot long enough, they might just be able to regain some of the strength they had in the 1980s, like in 1984 when Ronald Reagan won 49 states.

Trump has managed to turn much of the economy around in just a few months, and if he can keep control of Congress, he could do even more during the rest of his term.

Let minorities get elected due to their platform and positions, not their skin color.

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